Fundamental research

Understand the business.
Then test the thesis.

01

Define the business precisely

Core question

What does the company actually sell, who pays for it, and where does it sit in the value chain?

Why it matters

A company cannot be analysed clearly until its real economic activities are defined.

02

Understand the customer

Core question

Why do customers choose this company instead of the available alternatives?

Why it matters

The durability of a business begins with the customer’s reason to buy.

03

Explain how profits are created

Core question

How does the value delivered to customers become economic profit?

Why it matters

Revenue growth alone says little about business quality.

04

Analyse the industry and capital cycle

Core question

Who holds bargaining power, and how will capacity change future returns?

Why it matters

Entry, exit, competition, and investment shape long-term returns.

05

Identify the source of competitive advantage

Core question

What mechanism prevents competitors from taking away excess returns?

Why it matters

High returns are an outcome, not proof of an advantage.

06

Examine the operating system

Core question

Which operating choices reinforce one another?

Why it matters

A durable strategy usually lives in a connected system.

07

Assess financial resilience

Core question

Can the company withstand a severe but plausible downturn?

Why it matters

The balance sheet determines whether long-term economics survive short-term stress.

08

Evaluate capital allocation

Core question

Does business value ultimately increase long-term value per share?

Why it matters

A good operation can still produce poor shareholder outcomes.

09

Define legal and regulatory exposure

Core question

How could law or litigation change the company’s economics?

Why it matters

Rules can alter licences, pricing freedom, investment, and market structure.

10

Form a disciplined conclusion

Core question

What does the evidence support, and what would invalidate the thesis?

Why it matters

A useful conclusion separates fact, interpretation, uncertainty, and disconfirming evidence.

Conclusion standard

Every report must answer five questions.

  1. 01How does the business create value?
  2. 02Why can it retain part of that value?
  3. 03How durable are those economics?
  4. 04Can the financial structure withstand adversity?
  5. 05Will common shareholders receive the benefits?

AI-assisted research is a starting point for further investigation. It is not personalized investment advice.